Now just an area of disorganized showers and storms, the tropical wave impacting parts of the Caribbean is not likely to develop. It will continue to bring heavy rain to Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Leeward islands and Virgin Islands. Strong upper level winds from an area of low pressure coupled with land interaction will keep the wave from organizing. Over the next day or so, it will turn northwest spreading rain over the Turks & Caicos and southeastern Bahamas. The cold front moving through the Bay area will steer what is left of the wave away from the U.S. later this week.

The tropical wave we have been monitoring now has less chance of development. Its interaction with land and wind shear from an upper low are minimizing its chance of strengthening. The main impact will be locally heavy rain to a portion of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. The disorganized area of showers and storms will continue its west-northwest movement. The trough coming off the East coast will keep it from impacting the U.S.