The area we’ve been watching off Florida’s east coast, now Invest 93L, has a better chance for development.

The National Hurricane Center is giving it a 40% chance to form in the next 2 days along with a 40% chance within the next 7 days.

The system remains rather disorganized and lopsided but the environment will allow for additional strengthening. Once the system is in the Gulf, it has a better chance to become a tropical depression.

Invest 93L will move west over Florida today and is expected to reach the northeastern Gulf by Wednesday. From there, it eyes the coast of Louisiana / Mississippi. Rounds of heavy rain and flash flooding will be the main concern through this week.

A more northerly track would generally keep the system weaker as it spins closer to land. If it takes a more southerly track, it would have more time over warm Gulf waters to strengthen.

Dexter is the next name in line if this area is able to strengthen. Once winds reach 38mph, it will be a Tropical Depression. Tropical Storm strength is met once the sustained winds are 39mph.

This will mainly be a rainmaker for Florida as deep tropical moisture continues to move over the state as the low moves overhead. Scattered thunderstorms, tropical downpours and flash flooding will be the main impacts, primarily through Wednesday.

We’ll get back to more typical summer thunderstorm coverage at the end of this week – this weekend as the system moves away from Florida.

An upper level low pressure off Florida’s east coast has a low chance to form into a tropical depression this week.

This system will slowly drift over the state and end up in the northern Gulf around midweek. Environmental conditions support gradual development while the low spins along the Gulf Coast.

The National Hurricane Center is giving it a 20% chance over the next 7 days and a 0% chance over the next 2 days.

Regardless of tropical development, heavy rain is the main threat across Florida as deep tropical moisture will be over the state for several days.

Rounds of heavy rain, scattered thunderstorms and localized flooding is possible as waves of tropical downpours move across the state early this week.