Tracking Hurricane Erin and three tropical disturbances

Hurricane Erin is accelerating northeast at 20 mph, moving away from the United States. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect for parts of North Carolina, Virginia, and Bermuda, as Erin’s large wind field continues to bring widespread impacts.

Along the Outer Banks, storm surge warnings are still in place. High tide this evening and tonight could bring a heightened surge threat to vulnerable areas.

Meanwhile, we’re monitoring three other systems in the Atlantic.

A disturbance in the central Atlantic has a low (30%) chance of development and is moving east, posing no U.S. threat.

Invest 90L now has a high (70%) chance of development over the next week. Early signs suggest it will likely curve north and northeast, away from the U.S., with potential to strengthen into a tropical storm or hurricane.

Invest 99L carries a medium (40%) chance of development.

Conditions may briefly favor strengthening in the short term, but could sour by the weekend as it travels farther west. It’s still over 3,500 miles east, giving us plenty of time to watch it.

The next name on our 2025 storm list is Fernand.

Hurricane Erin passing off Florida’s East Coast

Category 2 Hurricane Erin is bringing rough beach conditions as the storm’s center is passing about 500 miles off Jacksonville Beach.

High Surf Advisory includes almost all of Florida’s East Coast through Thursday night with breaking waves between 5 and 10 feet, and up to 8′ waves further south to Saint Lucie/West Palm.

Dangerous rip currents will be possible into this weekend as well – High Rip Current risk through Friday night.

Hurricane Erin is moving north-northwest at a faster clip than yesterday. It remains a healthy Category 2 storm with a slight drop in sustained winds, still maintaining 100 mph winds down from 105 mph.

Erin pulls away from Florida Thursday, passing off the Outer Banks of North Carolina, before curving NE out to sea. It will brush by the coasts of NC and Virginia where new advisories are up today.

Here’s a look at advisories in effect from Hurricane Erin:

Storm Surge Warning:

  • Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina

Tropical Storm Warning:

  • Beaufort Inlet, NC to the North Carolina/Virginia border, including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds

Tropical Storm Watch:

  • North of the North Carolina/Virginia border to Chincoteague, Virginia
  • Bermuda

With a storm this large, it will take some time for the ocean to settle down and there will still be choppy conditions this weekend as Erin moves north and northeast.