The National Hurricane Center is now keeping an eye on the southwestern Gulf. We could see a broad area of low pressure get going over the next few days, but for now NHC gives it a 40% chance of it becoming a tropical depression or stronger over the next 7 days.

There are several hurdles for this to form. It would have to develop along a stalled front, and strong winds higher up in the atmosphere could make it difficult for the system to organize.

Weather models that develop the system, have it initially form in an area of very warm water and lower wind shear. While development is still uncertain, anything that forms could eventually bring impacts to the northern Gulf. At the moment, it’s too early in the forecast process to speculate on exactly where that would be.

There are now two areas of low pressure being watched by the National Hurricane Center for possible development in the Atlantic. Neither of which pose any threat to the United States.

The remnants of Tropical Storm Fay will have a small chance to reorganize within the next few days. This is a small window of time,before conditions likely become too hostile for redevelopment over the weekend. If it reforms, the storm would likely remain out-to-sea over the open Atlantic.

An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave off the coast of Africa has shown more potential for development. The NHC has now given the spot a medium (40%) chance of forming within the next seven days.

The Cabo Verde Islands will be monitoring the progression of this disturbance as it potentially becomes a tropical depression or storm by the weekend. This would bring heavy rain and gusty winds to the islands.

The next name on our 2026 Storm Naming List would be Gonzalo.