Hurricane and tropical storm warnings are now in effect for parts of Texas ahead of Tropical Storm Beryl.

The threat of storm surge extends across most of Texas’ coastline, with the potential for up to six feet of storm surge in some spots.

These estimates could be amplified by heavy rainfall the system will bring to the region on its pass. It is important to note that while Beryl will be in a similar location to Hurricane Harvey in 2017, it is not expected to slow down and stall like Harvey. Thus, we are not expecting to see anywhere near the astronomical rainfall totals Harvey brought.

The storm is still expected to strengthen into a category 1 hurricane before making landfall on Monday. If it favors the left side of its cone, it will have limited time to strengthen before landfall. If Beryl favors the right side of its cone, it may strengthen more than anticipated before landfall. The storm should quickly weaken into a tropical depression before exiting Texas on Tuesday or Wednesday.

There are no new named storms expected to form in the Atlantic over the next week.

Another landfall is expected as Beryl continues to spin over warm Gulf waters. The Texas coastline is now under a Hurricane Watch and a Storm Surge Watch.

The Hurricane Watch includes most of the Texas coast, running from just south of Galveston to South Padre Island.

Beryl is currently moving west-northwest at 12mph. The storm is expected to start to curve more north late Sunday into early Monday as it approaches the south coast of Texas.

Beryl has plenty of fuel to feed off as it spins over warm Gulf of Mexico waters. The slower speed of this storm will give it more time to strengthen Saturday and Sunday.

Water temperatures just off Texas are 87°, which is about when we expect the storm to strengthen back into a hurricane.

Beryl is forecast to become a Category 1 hurricane just ahead of landfall early Monday morning. Conditions will worsen later on Sunday, with tropical-storm-winds currently extending 115 miles from the storm’s center.

Landfall will likely be near or just north of Corpus Christi, with torrential rains traveling inland starting Monday.

Storm surge of 2-4′ is likely for most of the Texas coastline, with 3-5′ expected closer to where Beryl makes landfall. Rainfall totals of 5-10″ will be possible, with higher amounts up to 15″.