Harvey Degenerates For The Time Being; Still Watching Wave East Of Bahamas

Over the last 24 hours, Harvey degenerated into an open wave thanks to an area of strong wind shear that tore the system apart. That being said, Harvey’s remnants still have a good shot of redeveloping in a few days, especially as they move over the Bay of Campeche. Regardless, this system won’t have an impact on the United States.

atlantic-wide-2d-ir-enhanced

Of more interest perhaps, is Invest 92L, which was located about 100 miles NNE of the Turks and Caicos Islands on Sunday evening. Odds of development are still on the low side, but it will be moving into a more favorable environment by mid-week as it near the Bahamas and Florida. Most models are still keeping this system an open wave ultimately, but it does bear watching. One thing’s for sure, central and south Florida can count on increased rain chances and perhaps locally heavy rainfall mid to late week.

 

Tropics Remain Active; Threat To U.S. Is Low

As of Saturday evening, we’re still watching three separate disturbances in the Atlantic basin. Harvey has been battling with dry air today and has weakened to a tropical depression for the time being. Over the next 24 hours, it should be able to regain tropical storm status as it moves west-northwest toward Central America. Harvey will bring heavy rains to portions of Nicaragua and Honduras on Monday before moving into Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula on Tuesday. As of now, no tropical storm watches or warnings have been issued for those areas yet.

lynx

harvey

There are still two tropical waves riding in the wake of Harvey. Of most interest is Invest 92L; although, odds of development with this wave continue to drop. It will have to contend with quite a bit of wind shear in addition to pockets of dry air over the next few days as it moves towards the Bahamas. Even though development is not likely, it will likely bring periods of heavy rain to the islands; as well as increased rain chances for parts of Florida by mid-late week.

invest-90l-models