Tracking Two Tropical Disturbances

There are two areas currently being monitored in the Atlantic for development.

An area of low pressure over the Bahamas has a low (10%) chance of formation within the next seven days.

Moderate wind shear over the western Atlantic will make it difficult for this spot to get organized.

Interestingly enough, this formed along the frontal boundary that stems from the remnants of Hurricane Imelda.

The combination of this low and a robust high-pressure system to its north will funnel deep tropical moisture into the east coast of Florida.

This will make for a breezy few days across the state with amplified rain chances along our east coast, regardless of whether tropical development actually occurs.

A tropical wave emerging off Africa’s coastline today has a medium (50%) chance of development within the next seven days.

Many long-range weather models now show this system developing in the western tropical Atlantic next week. The Lesser Antilles should keep an eye on its progress. This is over 4,000 miles away from our coastline and poses no immediate threat to the United States. Weather models would become significantly more dependable after a tropical storm or depression actually forms.

If a new tropical storm forms, the next name on our 2025 storm naming list would be “Jerry.”

Hurricane Imelda racing toward Bermuda

Bermuda is bracing for Hurricane Imelda with back-to-back storms impacting the island this week.

Imelda has been strengthening, now a Category 2 storm with 100 mph sustained winds.

A Hurricane Watch is up for Bermuda with impacts starting today. Imelda is about 500 miles west-southwest of the island, moving at a very fast clip of 20 mph.

Imelda is moving to the east-northeast and Bermuda is right in the middle of the forecast cone. Hurricane-force-winds will spread across the small island today, with the worst of the weather tonight.

From there, Hurricane Imelda will gradually weaken and become extratropical through the remainder of the week as it continues moving through the Atlantic.

Dangerous surf, rip current and large waves will continue to impact the East Coast into this weekend as the energy remains high in the Atlantic.

After Hurricane Humberto passed Bermuda the last few days, the remnants of the storm have merged with a front in the northern Atlantic.

There are no other areas we are currently watching in the Atlantic Basin. We’ll keep you updated!