Multiple areas to watch in the Atlantic, But nothing threatening for the U.S. at the Moment

We’re still near the peak of hurricane season, so it shouldn’t be surprising that we have another burst of tropical activity to keep an eye on. That being said, there isn’t any cause for concern for the United States right now.

Of the four areas shown above, the one most likely to develop over the next few days sits in the north central Atlantic. It’s possible a tropical depression or even Tropical Storm Kirk forms here by Sunday or Monday. Either way, this will meander over the open ocean for at least the next week and ultimately should not be an issue.

The disturbance near Bermuda obviously has folks in the Carolinas on edge after dealing with Florence a week ago. While it’s possible something weak spins up here and heads toward the southeast coast of the U.S. early next week, more than likely it will stay just an open wave. Regardless, the last thing that region needs at this point is more rain. We’ll watch it closely and see how things evolve over the weekend.

In the main development region of the central Atlantic, we’re keeping tabs on two disturbances. Invest 97L is about 500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. It has looked a little more organized today and a tropical depression may form tonight or tomorrow. However, strong upper-level winds and dry air should inhibit any further development as this moves further west.

 

Meanwhile, Invest 99L is coming off the coast of Africa and will have a better environment to work with over the next few days. It’s a long way away and for now, just something to babysit over the next week or two.

 

Watching 2 Areas in the Atlantic

After a big burst of tropical activity over the last few weeks, things are a lot quieter now in Atlantic. That being said, we are keeping an eye on a large area of showers and storms sitting about 1000 miles east of the Windward Islands. The disorganized area is associated with a tropical wave that may organize a little over the next 48 hours.

As it continues to move west though, it will encounter dry air and higher wind shear. There is only a 20% chance of development over the next 2 to 5 days.

Looking ahead to the weekend, a non-tropical area of low pressure could develop between Bermuda and the Azores as a front moves off the east coast of the United States. This low will meander over the north Atlantic and could begin to take on some tropical characteristics. If a storm does develop here, it would likely stay out to sea, but it’s something we’ll be monitoring.

It has been days since Florence moved out of the Carolinas but widespread flooding and water rescues continue. The highest rainfall total in Southeast North Carolina was 35.93″ in Elizabethtown. The strongest wind gust of 105 mph occurred at Wilmington Airport. Northeast South Carolina was also hit hard. Loris, South Carolina picked up 23.63″ of rain and Cherry Grove Beach endured the strongest wind of 77 mph. There are 9 rivers in North Carolina forecast to have major or even recording flooding this week.