The forecast hasn’t changed for the tropical wave in the Caribbean. It will continue to move northwest spreading heavy rain to portions of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas and then Florida. There is a very minimal chance of development as the wave turns northeast away from the East Coast early next week.

The wave will bring deep moisture to the state Friday into Saturday, increasing rain chances for Tampa. Heavy rain is all we can expect from this wave.

It is looking more likely the tropical wave in the Atlantic may develop early next week. It is currently a disorganized area of showers and storms battling dry air and strong winds. Winds become more conducive for organization about 5 days out as it moves west in the Atlantic. If it does become a tropical depression, it will still be several hundred miles to the east of the Lesser Antilles.

There are still 2 tropical waves that we are monitoring but neither is very likely to develop over the next few days. One is sitting in the Eastern Caribbean Sea and the other is moving west in the Atlantic off the coast of Africa.

We have been talking about the wave bringing heavy rain to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico for the past few days. The wave remains disorganized and unlikely to organize as it will continue land interaction and move northwest. It may cause flooding in some islands before it heads towards the Florida Straits and Bahamas late week. No need to worry, the impact for us will be an increase in rain on Friday and Saturday.

The wave off the African coast is also disorganized and not of concern for the next few days. In order to strengthen the wave would have to overcome strong winds and dry air to the north, which looks unlikely. This weekend it has a marginal chance of organizing as winds become slightly more favorable. It will continue to move west over the Atlantic Ocean.