Staying busy in the Atlantic this week with multiple areas of interest. In the short term it’ll be areas in the Caribbean and just of the East Coast of the U.S. that tropical development is the most likely. Neither of these should threaten the United States.

In the Caribbean, Invest 99L has been showing signs of organization over the last 24 hours, and conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development. A tropical depression may form in the next day or two.

Ultimately, models aren’t doing a whole lot with this, but it’s possible it becomes named storm before moving into Belize or the Yucatan Peninsula in 3 to 4 days.

Right around the same time, an area of low pressure along a cold front off the East Coast may take on tropical characteristics as it moves safely out to sea. The next two names on the list are Nana and Omar.

We’ll keep an eye on the two waves coming off the African coast, but there will be no threat to land from either of these for at least the next few days.

Just as Laura moved away from Cuba it became a hurricane. Now with light wind shear and warm water in its path it is beginning to show signs of convection intensifying.

The current forecast track from NHC now calls for Hurricane Laura to become a major hurricane on Wednesday with winds of 115mph. Conditions will begin to deteriorate along the Louisiana and Texas coast on Wednesday afternoon.

Along with the damaging winds the storm surge is expected to be significant as Laura moves onshore. Current storm surge models are indicating a storm surge of 7 to 11 feet just to the right of where Laura makes landfall.

Flooding from torrential rain will also pose a serious threat with wide spread rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with isolated areas of up to 12 inches.