We continue to monitor only one area of potential development in the Atlantic. A tropical wave, set to emerge off the coast of Africa within the next day or so, has now been assigned a low 30% chance of formation within the next week.

In their latest update, the NHC has identified where the tropical wave is currently located with a yellow “x”.

As this disturbance pushes west, it will eventually encounter an environment more conducive to development. Warmer sea surface temperatures, lower wind shear, and the potential to encounter less Saharan dust could all encourage its eventual development early next week.

Multiple weather models now hint at development within the same time frame. This tropical wave is over 4,000 miles away from the Mainland United States coastline, giving us a long time to keep an eye on it. No tropical trouble is anticipated for Florida within the next week.

September 10 is the statistical peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. While it’s unusual to have no named storms across the basin, we’ll enjoy the calm stretch.

There are no areas of interest in the Atlantic and signs point for that to continue through the next week or so.

Each season is unique and this one is living up to the title. It’s the first season since 2008 without a single area of interest or named storm on September 10.

There’s still about 58% of the season ahead of us so we will we watch things closely.

Here’s where we stand so far this season: 6 named storms and 1 hurricane. Hurricane Erin is the only tropical Atlantic storm and it became a Category 5 just north of the Caribbean.