The Atlantic Basin is showing signs of life after a busy start, followed by an eerily quiet stretch to end August.

There are two areas we’re watching, both jumping on our radar in the last 48 hours.

One is in the main development region between the coast of Africa and Lesser Antilles. This has a low chance to develop at the end of this week – only 20%.

This isn’t a typical wave coming off the coast of Africa, but rather a disorganized area of thunderstorms that will move into a more favorable environment for strengthening. This area will generally move west-northwest the next few days at around 10-15 mph.

At the end of this week or early next week is likely when we see any development. That’s why the odds of formation remain low in the next 7 days and only 0% over the next 2 days.

If the system organizes into a tropical storm, it will be named Francine.

The second spot flagged by the NHC is an area of low pressure spinning a few hundred miles SE of Bermuda. A combination of dry air and hostile upper winds will limit much strengthening.

There is a 10% chance of development over the next 2 days and the next 7 days. It will generally move north to northeast around 10 mph.

The official peak of hurricane season is September 10th.

Hurricane Ernesto made landfall in Bermuda at about 5:30 Saturday morning as a Category 1 hurricane.

The hurricane hit the small islands with 85mph sustained winds. This is a large and relatively slow moving storm, so Bermuda will feel impacts through most of the day Saturday before Ernesto moves north-northeast.

Ernesto will continue to bring strong winds, dangerous storm surge and significant coastal flooding to the chain of 181 tiny islands that make up Bermuda.

Bermuda could get 6 to 9 inches of rain through Saturday with the strongest winds through the afternoon. But since the storm is so large, tropical storm-strength winds continue into Sunday.

Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast at around 9 mph. Warm waters will allow the storm to maintain hurricane strengthen over the next few days.

High surf and dangerous rip currents continue this weekend all across the Atlantic Coast on the backside of Ernesto.

The storm will pick up speed toward the NE Sunday – early next week as an East Coast trough builds in, taking Ernesto near Newfoundland Monday night.