Odds are increasing that a tropical wave that has just emerged off Africa’s coastline will develop into a tropical depression or storm within the next week. The National Hurricane Center has now given the disturbance a medium (40%) chance of development.

For now, this is a disorganized cluster of thunderstorms a little over a hundred miles off the coast of Guinea-Bissau.

This disturbance will likely become more organized as it moves across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic this week. It’s still too early to accurately predict where it would go if it develops. Regardless, we’ll have over ten days to keep an eye on the system and there are no imminent tropical threats for Florida.

The next name on our 2025 storm naming list would be Gabrielle.

We are only monitoring one disturbance in the Atlantic at this time. A tropical wave will emerge off the coast of Africa over the weekend and have a 30% chance of development by the middle to end of next week near the Cabo Verde Islands.

It’s still too early in the forecast process to speculate where it would track from there.

The next name on our 2025 storm naming list is Gabrielle.

We are now less than two weeks from the official peak of hurricane season (September 10th). Despite the lull in recent activity, its important to not let your guard down as about 74% of the season’s activity statistically lies ahead.