There are two areas currently being monitored in the Atlantic for development.

An area of low pressure over the Bahamas has a low (10%) chance of formation within the next seven days.

Moderate wind shear over the western Atlantic will make it difficult for this spot to get organized.

Interestingly enough, this formed along the frontal boundary that stems from the remnants of Hurricane Imelda.

The combination of this low and a robust high-pressure system to its north will funnel deep tropical moisture into the east coast of Florida.

This will make for a breezy few days across the state with amplified rain chances along our east coast, regardless of whether tropical development actually occurs.

A tropical wave emerging off Africa’s coastline today has a medium (50%) chance of development within the next seven days.

Many long-range weather models now show this system developing in the western tropical Atlantic next week. The Lesser Antilles should keep an eye on its progress. This is over 4,000 miles away from our coastline and poses no immediate threat to the United States. Weather models would become significantly more dependable after a tropical storm or depression actually forms.

If a new tropical storm forms, the next name on our 2025 storm naming list would be “Jerry.”

Imelda and Humberto are currently the only active named storms in the Atlantic.

Tropical Storm Imelda is still expected to strengthen into a hurricane by early next week.

Weather models indicate with high confidence that it will stay well off the east coast of our state. As a result, tropical storm watches for Florida’s east coast were dropped this evening. Tropical storm warnings still remain in effect for parts of the Bahamas.

Rip currents and dangerous boating conditions are expected across the coasts of Florida, Georgia, and North/South Carolina.

The majority of the damaging winds and excessive rainfall from Imelda should remain off the shoreline.

Major Hurricane Humberto poses no threat to the United States, but has prompted a tropical storm watch for Bermuda. The hurricane should slowly weaken over the next few days. The latest forecast for Humberto has it becoming a post-tropical system by the middle of next week.