Tropical Storm Chris forms as Hurricane Beryl nears the Lesser Antilles

Hurricane Beryl will be crossing the Lesser Antilles and entering the Eastern Caribbean today. At the moment, it is a powerful Category 4 hurricane with sustained winds of 130mph. Beryl is poised to bring catastrophic hurricane-force winds, a life-threatening storm surge, and damaging waves to the Windward Islands as it passes. Hurricane warnings are in effect for Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, and Tobago. Tropical Storm warnings are in effect for Martinique and Trinidad. 

After potentially strengthening more today, Beryl is then expected to undergo some weakening as it traverses across the central and western Caribbean Sea. From there, Beryl would likely pass near or through the Yucatan Peninsula. The 11 pm advisory now shows Beryl potentially re-emerging into the Gulf of Mexico as a tropical storm.

Invest 96L has a high (70%) chance of formation over the next seven days. If this system forms, it would initially take a similar path to Beryl into the Eastern Caribbean. However, conditions in this area do not appear as favorable for strengthening as they were for Beryl. Most models do not strengthen Invest 96L into a hurricane in the Caribbean Sea. The next name assigned to any tropical storm or hurricane would be “Debby”.

Tropical Storm Chris formed in the Gulf of Mexico late Sunday night.

Chris will be a short-lived system that quickly dissipates as it pushes onshore early this morning. Heavy rain, tropical storm force winds, and mudslides will be possible across eastern Mexico today. Chris will bring no impacts to the United States.

Hurricane Beryl continues to strengthen

Hurricane Beryl continues to strengthen in the Atlantic. As of the latest update, it now has sustained winds of 85mph.

Hurricane Beryl is now expected to strengthen into a major Category 3 hurricane before crossing into the eastern Atlantic early next week. From there, The National Hurricane Center now has Beryl maintaining hurricane status as it approaches the Western Caribbean by the end of next week. There are currently no immediate tropical threats to Florida.

Hurricane Watches and Warnings have been issued for parts of the Lesser Antilles, as they brace for Beryl to likely pass by at the beginning of this week.

Otherwise, we are monitoring two separate tropical waves. One wave entering the Bay of Campeche with a medium (50%) chance of forming over the next few days. This would bring minimal or no impacts to the United States as it would likely remain weak and push west into the Mexican coastline.

Behind Beryl, we are keeping an eye on a separate disturbance with a high (70%) chance of formation over the next week. If this forms into a tropical storm or a tropical depression, models are in increasing agreement that it will push west toward the Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week. 

Our next tropical storm or hurricane would be assigned the name “Chris.”