Tropical Storm Gabrielle formed in the central tropical Atlantic this morning. Gabrielle is currently a very disorganized tropical storm with ragged convection and sustained winds of 45mph.

The storm will be fighting off Saharan dust before entering into a more favorable environment with warmer waters by the weekend. This will likely give it enough of a window for it to strengthen into a hurricane.

This is not a threat to Florida and should stay well east of the United States. Bermuda is now within the forecast cone and will need to monitor the progress of Gabrielle.

Separate from Gabrielle, there are two other areas of potential development we are now monitoring.

A tropical wave passing south of the Cabo Verde Islands will have a small chance to become a named storm wihin the next week.

Behind the Cabo Verde disturbance, a second tropical wave is expected to emerge off the African coastline later this week. It will also have a low chance of formation within the next seven days.

The next name on our 2025 storm naming list would be Humberto.

Odds are gradually increasing for a tropical wave near the Cabo Verde Islands to develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm by the middle or end of next week. The National Hurricane Center has now given the disturbance a 70% chance of formation within the next week.

The majority of our weather models, including the Fox Weather Model, now show this system organizing later this week.

Dry, stable air is limiting its development in the short term.

Warmer waters and reduced wind shear lie ahead of the disturbance. Early indications suggest a weakness in high pressure to its north would likely steer anything that develops northward and away from Florida. Our weather models will become more reliable once, or if, this system forms.

“Gabrielle” would be the next name used from our 2025 storm naming list.