Tropical Wave Encounters Dry Air & Wind Shear

The chances of development for the tropical wave west of the Lesser Antilles is dwindling. What is a disorganized area of showers and storms will continue moving west northwest over the next several days. It will bring rain to parts of the Caribbean but do little else.

Dry air is sitting over the western Caribbean and helps inhibit organization.

The wave not only has dry air to deal with but also strong wind shear. Wind shear shaves off the tops of thunderstorms and keeps them from strengthening and organizing. Both of these factors only give the wave a 10% chance of development.

 

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