The cold front that has been bringing pleasant changes for many in the eastern U.S, in the wake of last week’s heat wave, has now stalled out over the Gulf of Mexico – as fronts often do this time of the year.

These types of setups will produce disorganized areas of showers and storms over the Gulf, and it doesn’t take much for an area of low pressure to form and take on tropical characteristics. A classic example of this is Tropical Storm Emily, which formed just off the west coast of Florida in in late July of 2017.

As of 11am Wednesday, the National Hurricane Center is giving this area a 20% chance of development over the next 5 days. While most models aren’t doing much with this, it’s a setup that always bears watching. Regardless of any development, count on above average rain chances across most of the Florida Peninsula for the next 3-4 days. We’ll keep you updated if anything changes.