Tropical Wave Now 50% Chance of Development Next Week

Even though we are nearing the end of Hurricane Season, tropical waves continue to come off the coast of Africa. Dry air and wind shear have been limiting their development. But we are watching a tropical wave become better organized with gusty winds. It is still several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Significant organization over the next 2 days is unlikely. But next week as it moves north of Puerto Rico it could become better organized. Even if it does organize, models are bringing a trough off the East Coast of the U.S., which would steer it away from the coast.

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