On Thursday morning, Subtropical Depression Five formed in the North Atlantic. The disturbance has about another 24 hours or so in a somewhat favorable environment with relatively low wind shear and warm water. During this time, enough strengthening should take place for it to become our 5th named storm of the season, Ernesto. After the next next day or two, however, the system should quickly lose any tropical characteristics as it begins to accelerate northeastward over much cooler waters.

Regardless of development, this will for the most part be another ‘fish storm’. It’s remnants though will likely bring some wind and rain to parts of the United Kingdom late in the weekend into early next week.