Tropical Storm Lorenzo forms in Atlantic

Tropical Storm Lorenzo, the 12th named storm of the season, formed early Monday morning in the central Atlantic.

The good news is Lorenzo will move north, staying out to sea and far away from land thanks to a weakness in the subtropical ridge.

Tropical Storm Lorenzo will strengthen by early Thursday with 70 mph sustained winds forecast. From there, it will gradually weaken into this weekend as it curves NE south of the Azores.

Lorenzo is currently about 1,000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands with 45 mph sustained winds.

It is fighting off some wind shear, which is limiting strengthening, but shear will lessen and will open the door for Lorenzo to strengthen more on Wednesday-Thursday.

The storm is moving northwest at about 17 mph but is expected to gradually turn north on Tuesday then NE.

So far this season: 12 named storms, 4 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes have formed.

The trend of storms taking a hard turn north and curving out to sea or remaining out to sea entirely has been notable.

Melissa is the next name in line on the 2025 season list followed by Nestor.

Odds Growing for Lorenzo to Form this Week

We are currently monitoring one Atlantic disturbance heading into the workweek. Invest 97L, a robust tropical wave in the central Atlantic, now has a high chance of development.

Many weather models now develop it into a tropical storm early this week. Regardless, there is high confidence that this will turn north and eventually away from the United States. 

The next name on our list would be Lorenzo.