Tropical Storm Gabrielle struggling to overcome dry air

Tropical Storm Gabrielle is still combating dry air in the west/central tropical Atlantic.

This is highlighted by the lack of organized storm development around its exposed center.

Nevertheless, Gabrielle could still to strengthen into a hurricane by the beginning of next week.

A primary driver in the storms potential strengthening is the warmer sea surface temperatures that lie ahead of it.

This poses no direct threat to the United States. Bermuda is no longer within the storm’s forecast cone, but impacts are still possible for the island.

We are now only monitoring one area of potential development within the next week. A tropical wave set to emerge off the coast of Africa within the next day or so has a low 20% chance of development in the yellow shaded region within the next seven days.

The next name on our 2025 storm naming list would be Humberto if anything new were to develop.

Tracking Tropical Storm Gabrielle and two separate disturbances

Tropical Storm Gabrielle formed in the central tropical Atlantic this morning. Gabrielle is currently a very disorganized tropical storm with ragged convection and sustained winds of 45mph.

The storm will be fighting off Saharan dust before entering into a more favorable environment with warmer waters by the weekend. This will likely give it enough of a window for it to strengthen into a hurricane.

This is not a threat to Florida and should stay well east of the United States. Bermuda is now within the forecast cone and will need to monitor the progress of Gabrielle.

Separate from Gabrielle, there are two other areas of potential development we are now monitoring.

A tropical wave passing south of the Cabo Verde Islands will have a small chance to become a named storm wihin the next week.

Behind the Cabo Verde disturbance, a second tropical wave is expected to emerge off the African coastline later this week. It will also have a low chance of formation within the next seven days.

The next name on our 2025 storm naming list would be Humberto.