The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring an area of low pressure east of Bermuda dubbed Invest 94L. The area is only producing limited and disorganized shower activity as of Sunday and formation chances remain low. It has been given a 10% chance of development over the next 2 days and a 20% chance of development over the next 5 days.

Environmental conditions are expected to only be marginally conducive for development over the next few days. Strong upper level shear will be the primary limiting factor for Invest 94L along with cooler waters. However, the area may acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics as it continues moving west northwestward across the Atlantic.

We’ll continue to watch the system. However, it will pose no threat to Florida. If Invest 94L develops into a named storm, it would be called Lisa.

Karl which was a tropical storm meandering over the Bay of Campeche this past week is now post-tropical, losing its tropical characteristics. Karl has been battling substantial upper level wind shear and is now spinning down as it drifts southwest.

The National Hurricane Center issued its last advisory on the storm Saturday morning, but the remnant low could still produce heavy rain, flash flooding and mudslides over portions of southern Mexico this weekend.

Elsewhere in the tropics, things remain fairly quiet with no formation expected over the next several days. We’ll continue to monitor the Caribbean, which is a common breeding ground in the month of October. The next name on the list is Lisa.