Gabrielle has developed into the second hurricane of our 2025 Atlantic season. The storm is expected to continue strengthening over the next few days, likely becoming a major hurricane early this week.
Gabrielle will pass over a hundred miles east of Bermuda.
There is high confidence in its eventual turn northeastward towards the North Atlantic and far away from the United States. Swells generated by Gabrielle will continue to affect Bermuda and parts of the U.S. east coast, creating life-threatening surf and rip-current conditions in some spots.
Behind Gabrielle, there are two tropical waves we are currently monitoring. Each has growing development chances.
The east disturbance now has a 60% chance of development within the orange shaded region. This is the same spot we’ve been monitoring for several days now. Weather models that forecast this formation have overwhelmingly kept it away from Florida.
The west disturbance was added this afternoon and has seen its odds of development climb to 30%. There are not as many weather models supporting the development of this wave. However, it would be forming much closer to the U.S. than the eastern wave and should be monitored for potential impacts, especially as it pulls north.
A combination of dry air and wind shear are making it difficult for a tropical depression or storm to organize in the short term. While both systems need to be watched closely this week, the National Hurricane Center has stated the eastward wave is more likely to form. That area appears to be more conducive for storm development mid-to-late next week.
It is too early to project the potential impacts either of these waves may bring. The next few days should bring increasing clarity on if one or either of these will form.
The next name on our 2025 storm naming list would be Humberto.
