Subtropical storm Oscar has developed in the Atlantic with 50 mph winds. It is riding along a  low pressure system at the moment. Once it moves away from the low it should become more tropical in nature over the next 36 hours.

Gradual intensification is likely as it moves into lower shear and warmer waters. It could strengthen into a category 1 hurricane by Tuesday. Oscar will make a sharp turn to the north and increase in forward speed ahead of a trough in the eastern Atlantic. Models are in good agreement Oscar will stay well east of the United States and race out into the northern Atlantic.

Hurricane season is on the downswing, but it’s not over yet. It looks like Tropical Storm Oscar will form at some point in the next couple of days. The good news is that it’s in the open Atlantic and shouldn’t come anywhere near the U.S. mainland.

This time of year, East Coast troughs become increasingly more common – which often act as a barrier and usher storms into the North Atlantic. That looks to be the case with this storm and the only land area that really needs to keep an eye on it is Bermuda. Development chances are at 70% in the next 48 hours, 80% in the next 5 days.

Things are quiet elsewhere in the Atlantic.