Dorian is a category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds, bringing heavy rain, strong winds, and surge along North Carolina’s east coast. It made landfall in Cape Hatteras at 8:35am this morning for about 20 minutes at half the strength the Bahamas saw. The storm is moving NE at 14 mph and will be out in the Atlantic by this evening and headed up towards Nova Scotia this weekend.


Tropical Storm Gabrielle is now Post Tropical Storm Gabrielle with 40 mph winds. It is expected to gain some strength as it moves northwestward in the open Atlantic. Gabrielle is no threat to any land areas.

We are still monitoring 2 other areas in the tropics. The area in yellow is a disorganized tropical wave with minimal chances of development over the next 5 days. If any strengthening occurs it will be slow as the area moves northwestward. The tropical wave in red off the coast of Africa, isn’t expected to develop over the next 2 days. But conditions become more favorable early next week and a tropical depression may form. The Cabo Verde Islands will see enhanced rainfall today before the wave moves westward in to the Atlantic.


Hurricane force winds may impact the Carolinas into Friday. Dorian is expected to take more of a northeastward turn tonight and pick up speed on Friday, coming very close to the North Carolina coastline.
There will be some fluctuations in intensity today followed by a slow weakening through Saturday. Storm surge of 10-12 ft is possible south of Myrtle Beach. Wilmington could see 8-10 ft surge. They are also looking at 6-12″ of rain with isolated 15″ totals.
What was Tropical Storm Ferdnand has dissipated as it moved over Mexico yesterday. Tropical Storm Gabrielle remains poorly organized with 50 mph winds. It is not expected to strengthen as it remains in an area of dry air and wind shear. But this weekend conditions become more favorable. It will continue moving northwest in the open Eastern Atlantic not affecting any land masses.
This disturbance in yellow northeast of Dorian that we have been watching is entering more unfavorable conditions and likely won’t develop. It will remain over the Atlantic, with no impact to the United States. We are still expecting the wave off the coast of Africa in orange to develop into a tropical depression early next week. We will monitor its westward movement in the Atlantic, but it is still several days away from impacting any land areas. There is minimal chance, only 10% of development for the area of low pressure in yellow to the east of the Leeward Islands. It will slowly move northwest.