The peak of hurricane season is fast approaching and the tropical Atlantic remains very active. It’s quite possible that Paulette, Rene, and Sally all form over the next week. That being said, it doesn’t appear that any of them would pose a threat to the U.S.

We’re starting to get the first cold fronts of the season through the eastern U.S. and general troughing over this area should persist over the next 7-10 days. This sets up a steering flow that acts to keep any tropical threats out to sea.

The one exception to this would be a ‘home grown’ system – if one were to form. While this doesn’t appear likely, we’ll be keeping a close eye on the Gulf of Mexico as the next couple of cold fronts stall over the water – which can often be a focal point for an area of low pressure to develop.

For now, no worries, so sit back, relax, and enjoy your Labor Day Weekend!

Staying busy in the Atlantic this week with multiple areas of interest. In the short term it’ll be areas in the Caribbean and just of the East Coast of the U.S. that tropical development is the most likely. Neither of these should threaten the United States.

In the Caribbean, Invest 99L has been showing signs of organization over the last 24 hours, and conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development. A tropical depression may form in the next day or two.

Ultimately, models aren’t doing a whole lot with this, but it’s possible it becomes named storm before moving into Belize or the Yucatan Peninsula in 3 to 4 days.

Right around the same time, an area of low pressure along a cold front off the East Coast may take on tropical characteristics as it moves safely out to sea. The next two names on the list are Nana and Omar.

We’ll keep an eye on the two waves coming off the African coast, but there will be no threat to land from either of these for at least the next few days.