Danielle has strengthened into a hurricane – the first of the 2022 season. The first hurricane forms by August 11th on average in the Atlantic, so this is well behind schedule. No worries with Danielle, it’s just a North Atlantic fish storm.

We still have a couple other areas we’re watching, but neither of which appear to pose any threat to the U.S. or really any land areas at all. Invest 91L a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands has the higher likelihood of development at this point, but there is really no model consensus at this point. Again, regardless of development, this does not pose any threat. Enjoy your Labor Day weekend!

We went a full 60 days with no named storms in the Atlantic – the 2nd longest streak on record since 1995! All good things must come to end and the streak is now over, as Tropical Storm Danielle formed Thursday morning in the North Atlantic.

Danielle is likely to become a hurricane, but it won’t be a threat to the U.S. or really any land areas. At most, some leftover wind and rain could move into parts of western Europe late next week. This leaves us with Invest 91L in the Central Atlantic and a tropical wave behind it that just rolled off the coast of Africa that is unlikely to develop.

Some model guidance has backed off on the development of Invest 91L, while others have it turning into a hurricane early next week. It’s been gradually trying to get more organized, but the environment around it is only marginally conducive for development right now. The National Hurricane has development odds currently at 80% over the next 5 days. Regardless, this will stay north of the Lesser Antilles, and likely make a sharp right hand turn back out to sea next week – if it doesn’t completely dissipate beforehand.