Danielle and Earl formed last week, ending our streak of nearly two months with no named storms in the Atlantic. Danielle remains no threat to land as it loops around North Atlantic shipping lanes in the coming days.

Meanwhile, Earl has made it’s turn to the north, and is could strengthen into a major hurricane by the end of the week. The only area of land remotely in its path is Bermuda, but there is a large consensus among model guidance that it will miss the island to the east.

There a couple additional areas we’re watching closer to Africa. While it’s possible we get an additional named storm or two the bottom line is that steering currents are really working in our favor right now and aren’t set up to bring anything toward the Caribbean or U.S. for at least the next 1-2 weeks.

The statistical peak of the season is coming up this Saturday, September 10 and we still have another 6-8 weeks of what can be the most dangerous part of hurricane season. So, despite the lack of threats right now, stay prepared and we’ll be here with you the rest of the way as always!

The tropical disturbance near the Leeward Islands has formed into a tropical storm, according to the National Hurricane Center. Tropical Storm Earl became better organized and developed late Friday night east of the Caribbean.

As of Saturday morning, Earl remains a weak tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. Earl is moving WNW at 13 mph. Earl is  forecast to continue on its generally west-northwesterly trajectory in the coming days moving north of the Caribbean Islands as it is steered by a ridge of high pressure. Some heavy rain and flooding impacts are possible for parts of the Leeward Islands, U.S and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this weekend. Then, a turn to the northeast is possible thanks to a trough developing over the Atlantic as Earl slows down. This means Earl should not impact the United States. However, we will continue to monitor the model trends.

Earl is currently battling some upper level wind shear which should inhibit significant strengthening in the short term. There are still some questions regarding the long term strength forecast of Earl.

Meanwhile, Danielle, which became a hurricane on Friday, has weakened to a tropical storm. Danielle remains a nearly stationary system in the north Atlantic and some strengthening is still possible in the coming days. Danielle is expected to drift west, then northward but will not impact the U.S.