Hurricane Erin passing off Florida’s East Coast

Category 2 Hurricane Erin is bringing rough beach conditions as the storm’s center is passing about 500 miles off Jacksonville Beach.

High Surf Advisory includes almost all of Florida’s East Coast through Thursday night with breaking waves between 5 and 10 feet, and up to 8′ waves further south to Saint Lucie/West Palm.

Dangerous rip currents will be possible into this weekend as well – High Rip Current risk through Friday night.

Hurricane Erin is moving north-northwest at a faster clip than yesterday. It remains a healthy Category 2 storm with a slight drop in sustained winds, still maintaining 100 mph winds down from 105 mph.

Erin pulls away from Florida Thursday, passing off the Outer Banks of North Carolina, before curving NE out to sea. It will brush by the coasts of NC and Virginia where new advisories are up today.

Here’s a look at advisories in effect from Hurricane Erin:

Storm Surge Warning:

  • Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina

Tropical Storm Warning:

  • Beaufort Inlet, NC to the North Carolina/Virginia border, including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds

Tropical Storm Watch:

  • North of the North Carolina/Virginia border to Chincoteague, Virginia
  • Bermuda

With a storm this large, it will take some time for the ocean to settle down and there will still be choppy conditions this weekend as Erin moves north and northeast.

Two tropical waves behind Hurricane Erin

Looks like a train of tropical waves in the Atlantic as two areas of interest spin behind Hurricane Erin’s path.

One wave just off the coast of Africa near the Cabo Verde Islands, Invest 99L, has a 30% chance to form in the next 7 days.

The disturbance is moving west around 15 mph but currently only has a low chance of development as it will run into less favorable conditions into this weekend.

The other tropical wave just ahead of Invest 99L is producing a broad area of storms in the central Atlantic. This is moving at a quick 20 mph to the west-northwest and fighting off some dry air in the process.

This disturbance will be near the Leeward Islands on Friday and could become a tropical depression later this week. Odds are 60% for something to form. Currently, the steering is in our favor for a trough to help protect Florida and guide the storm east of us.

Hurricane Erin has started it’s turn to the northwest and slowed down to 7 mph during the process. It has weakened to a Category 2 storm with 105 mph sustained winds.

Things are on track for this to continue on a more northerly path before curving northeast out to sea.

There are newly issued advisories along the North Carolina Coast where Erin will make the closest pass to the U.S.

Tropical Storm Warning: Beaufort Inlet to Duck, NC

Tropical Storm Watch: north of Duck, NC to Cape Charles Light, Virginia.

Storm Surge Warning: Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina (2-4′ of surge is possible)

Tropical storm conditions start late Wednesday. Large waves, beach erosion and overwash could make some roads impassible with conditions improving this weekend.