Looks like a train of tropical waves in the Atlantic as two areas of interest spin behind Hurricane Erin’s path.

One wave just off the coast of Africa near the Cabo Verde Islands, Invest 99L, has a 30% chance to form in the next 7 days.

The disturbance is moving west around 15 mph but currently only has a low chance of development as it will run into less favorable conditions into this weekend.

The other tropical wave just ahead of Invest 99L is producing a broad area of storms in the central Atlantic. This is moving at a quick 20 mph to the west-northwest and fighting off some dry air in the process.

This disturbance will be near the Leeward Islands on Friday and could become a tropical depression later this week. Odds are 60% for something to form. Currently, the steering is in our favor for a trough to help protect Florida and guide the storm east of us.

Hurricane Erin has started it’s turn to the northwest and slowed down to 7 mph during the process. It has weakened to a Category 2 storm with 105 mph sustained winds.

Things are on track for this to continue on a more northerly path before curving northeast out to sea.

There are newly issued advisories along the North Carolina Coast where Erin will make the closest pass to the U.S.

Tropical Storm Warning: Beaufort Inlet to Duck, NC

Tropical Storm Watch: north of Duck, NC to Cape Charles Light, Virginia.

Storm Surge Warning: Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina (2-4′ of surge is possible)

Tropical storm conditions start late Wednesday. Large waves, beach erosion and overwash could make some roads impassible with conditions improving this weekend.

Hurricane Erin peaked at Category 5 strength Saturday after undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle.

Erin is now a Category 3 hurricane with outer rainbands producing gusty winds and heavy rains across the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic.

Sustained winds are 125 mph as the storm moves west-northwest at 14 mph. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Turks and Caicos with a Tropical Storm Watch covering the SE Bahamas.

Erin’s core is expected to pass east of the Turks and Caicos Islands and southeastern Bahamas tonight and Monday. The storm is still forecast to make a gradual turn to the north Monday and Tuesday, staying east of the Atlantic Coast.

Some fluctuations in intensity are likely the next few days with the forecast calling for Erin to reach Category 4 strength early this week as it passes off Florida’s East Coast.

The steering is solid as Erin follows a weakness in high pressure which will guide it north and back out to sea near/north of Bermuda.

Erin is a smaller storm with hurricane-force winds only extending about 25 miles out from the storm’s center. Main impacts will come from the outer bands, which could produce up to 8″ of rain across the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Local flooding and mudslides are possible for the islands.

Dangerous swells and rough seas will spread to the Bahamas, Bermuda and up the Atlantic Coast this week as Hurricane Erin parallels the coast as a strong storm.

Wave heights between 5-10′ are likely along Florida’s east coast early to mid-week.

Erin is expected to pass between North Carolina and Bermuda with outer rainbands and rough seas impacting these area during the middle and end of this week.