Invest in Atlantic could become next named storm

Formerly Tropical Storm Sean has just been downgraded to a Tropical Depression as it spins in the eastern Atlantic Ocean.

As Sean is weakening, another system is trailing behind it with a better chance of strengthening during the next few days. The tropical disturbance, Invest 94L, has been given a 90% of development by the National Hurricane Center.

We could soon have our next named storm of the season as the environment ahead of Invest 94L is favorable for a tropical system. If it reaches tropical storm strength, it will be named Tammy.

Waters in the western and central Atlantic are running well into the 80s, which is prime for additional strengthening. Invest 94L will move on a mostly westward track and wind shear will not be much an issue for the storm.

As for Tropical Depression Sean, the storm is forecast to slowly weaken the next few days. It is spinning more than 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles with sustained winds of 35mph.

As Invest 94L continues on its path, we will be closely watching as this storm looks to be taking a more southerly route.

New Tropical Storm spinning in the Atlantic

There is a new named storm churning just east of the Northern Leeward Islands. Tropical Storm Rina is now the 18th named storm of the season.

Rina has been slowly strengthening over the last few days and was upgraded from Invest 91L to a tropical storm on Thursday, with sustained winds of 40 mph.

Tropical Storm Rina is expected to start taking a harder turn to the west, before turning more northerly this weekend.

It doesn’t look likely that Rina will impact land as its path stays in the open Atlantic. Currently, Tropical Storm Rina is more than 1,000 miles east of the Leeward Islands.

There is one interesting factor at play: how close Rina is to Tropical Storm Philippe. When tropical systems are close to each other like these two are, they can interact in unique ways and become more unpredictable.

Notice how one of the models, the white line, sends Rina on a loop and back out to open waters? Sometimes storms will swivel and dance around each other when they are this close. We call it the Fujiwhara Effect when this happens.

Tropical Storm Philippe is less than 700 miles away from Rina, so it’s not out of the question that they will pivot around each other and the tracks could change.

Winds from one storm can impact the other tropical system, causing one to spin and change its track. In some cases, the stronger storm will overtake and engulf the weaker one.

As of now, neither are expected to hit the Caribbean but we will continue to watch both systems closely.

Tropical Storm Philippe’s track gets the storm closer to land compared to Rina, but the storm will likely remain east of the Caribbean Islands as it slowly crawls along at 2 mph. No coastal watches/warnings are in effect.