Tropical Storm Lorenzo forms in Atlantic

Tropical Storm Lorenzo, the 12th named storm of the season, formed early Monday morning in the central Atlantic.

The good news is Lorenzo will move north, staying out to sea and far away from land thanks to a weakness in the subtropical ridge.

Tropical Storm Lorenzo will strengthen by early Thursday with 70 mph sustained winds forecast. From there, it will gradually weaken into this weekend as it curves NE south of the Azores.

Lorenzo is currently about 1,000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands with 45 mph sustained winds.

It is fighting off some wind shear, which is limiting strengthening, but shear will lessen and will open the door for Lorenzo to strengthen more on Wednesday-Thursday.

The storm is moving northwest at about 17 mph but is expected to gradually turn north on Tuesday then NE.

So far this season: 12 named storms, 4 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes have formed.

The trend of storms taking a hard turn north and curving out to sea or remaining out to sea entirely has been notable.

Melissa is the next name in line on the 2025 season list followed by Nestor.

Tropical Storm Jerry forms in the Atlantic

Tropical Storm Jerry formed and is forecast to become a hurricane Wednesday as it approaches the northern Leeward Islands.

Sustained winds are up to 45 mph and the storm is quickly moving west at 24 mph.

Jerry is forecast to have 90 mph sustained winds as the core passes near or just north of the islands late Thursday and Friday.

It will slow down a bit and it starts to turn more west-northwest in the next few days. Late this week and through the weekend, Jerry starts to curve north as a trough breaks down the ridge of high pressure.

Many models steer the storm near/east of Bermuda but some take a southern track with more implications for the islands.

There is a large spread in models after it passes the islands. Some track Jerry through stronger wind shear while others lean towards a path offering more favorable winds for the storm.

Stick with us as we watch model trends with more updates to come on Tropical Storm Jerry.