The countdown is on – 26 days until the official end of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.

There are no areas on our radar for tropical development and no activity is anticipated over the next 7 days.

Hostile upper-level winds are increasing across the tropical belt and there’s stronger wind shear from a more active jet stream.

It’s around this point in the season where formation zones shrink down as conditions become less favorable for tropical systems.

We’ll watch the Caribbean where there’s a low chance for formation, only around 20%.

This is a typical spot near the Central American Gyre where a tropical system can spin up from the enhanced lift.

Could this be the end of hurricane season? We’ll certainly hope for it! Odds favor the season is over – but as always, we will watch and let you know if that changes.

Where we stand this season: 13 named storms, 5 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes.

And notably, three Category 5 hurricanes formed this season. That’s the most since 2005 – which had four Cat 5 storms (Katrina, Rita, Wilma and Emily).

While a landfalling November storm is rare, it has happened. Here’s a look in the hurricane history books:

Hurricane Nicole is the most recent landfalling November hurricane. It hit Vero Beach as a Category 1 storm in 2022.

Hurricane Melissa remained a powerful Category 3 storm as it made landfall near Chivirico, Cuba with 120 mph winds early Wednesday morning.

Melissa has been weakening while moving over eastern Cuba but is still at Category 2 strength.

Melissa has 105 mph sustained winds as it spins about 45 miles NW of Guantanamo, Cuba and about 200 miles S of the Central Bahamas.

The storm will emerge back over waters in the next few hours as it continues moving northeast, now at a much faster clip of 14 mph.

Hurricane Melissa continue to bring impacts to the islands in the coming days. It will emerge back over warm waters and head towards the Bahamian Islands & Turks and Caicos later today.

Hurricane-force winds go out 30 miles from the storm’s center, which will pass near/over the central and SE Bahamas with hurricane conditions starting today, lasting into Thursday.

Storm surge is a concern for the low-lying islands with the forecast calling for 5-8′ above normal tide for portions of the Bahamas.

Minor coastal flooding will occur in the Turks and Caicos Islands but surge is more of a concern closer to where Melissa passes. Exuma, Great Inagua, Mayaguana, Ragged Island & Crooked Island are all in the crosshairs.

Over the Southeastern Bahamas, rainfall totals of 5-10″ are expected today. For Turks and Caicos, rainfall totals of 1-3″.

From there, Melissa will pass near Bermuda Thursday into Friday with heavy rain starting to affect Bermuda on Thursday.