Ernesto restrengthened into a hurricane on Sunday while continuing to move northeast. The Category 1 hurricane will stay hundreds of miles off the shoreline of the United States but will bring life-threatening surf and rip currents to the northeast early this week.

Ernesto will additionally bring wind, wave, and rain impacts to Newfoundland on Monday night into Tuesday morning as it makes a close pass. 

There are no new named storms expected to form in the Atlantic over the next seven days.

A large plume of Saharan dust has continued to aid in suppressing tropical activity in The Main Development Region.  We typically see the amount of this dust decrease in presence as we enter September.

Coincidingly, September also brings the climatological peak of tropical activity during hurricane season.

After strengthening overnight, Hurricane Ernesto’s intensification has come to a pause this afternoon. The hurricane is still battling dry air and moderate wind shear as it treks north toward Bermuda.

Weather models continue to take this system very close to Bermuda, with the possibility of a landfall not off the table. A hurricane warning remains in effect as tropical storm-force winds have already reached the island.

Coastal flooding and flash flooding remain an added concern. Rain totals in Bermuda between six inches and a foot from this system will be possible. Impacts from Ernesto will likely continue for the island through Saturday night.

Dangerous rip currents and rough surf are anticipated across the U.S. east coast over the weekend. Newfoundland, Canada will need to monitor this hurricane carefully as they could be next to see notable impacts by the beginning of next week.

Thankfully, there are no other named storms or disturbances being monitored by the National Hurricane Center in the Atlantic at this time.