We are now keeping tabs on five unique areas of disturbed weather in the Atlantic for chances of development.

A tropical wave in the northwest Caribbean Sea will have a low (30%) chance of formation after it enters the Bay of Campeche over the weekend.

While this wave has struggled to organize over the past several days, it will have another chance over the warmer waters of the southern Gulf

Meanwhile, we are again keeping tabs on a disturbance off the coast of Texas. Development is unlikely as increasing wind shear will create a hostile environment off the coastlines of Texas and Louisiana. It currently has a low (10%) chance of formation over the next week.

The disturbance will continue to be a prolific rainmaker for that region through the weekend.

By early next week, there is now a low (10%) chance of formation for a tropical wave in the Central Tropical Atlantic. This is after passes north of the Greater/Lesser Antilles early next week.

The National Hurricane Center is also watching an area of low pressure (Invest 99L) producing disorganized showers and storms a few hundred miles east of North Carolina. This could gain subtropical characteristics as it generally moves northeast over the next few days.

Weather forecast models keep the disturbance well off the coast of the United States. They eventually bring it into a less favorable environment for formation, over the cooler waters of the North Atlantic this weekend. It has a low (20%) chance of development over the next two days.

A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic now has a low (20%) chance of forming within the next week. Regardless, it will likely track north/northwest and remain in the central Atlantic.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three areas in the Atlantic for development chances. 

A broad area of low pressure just off the coast of Texas has a meager chance of developing into a named storm over the next seven days.

Regardless, it has brought heavy rainfall to the coasts of Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi over the past few days. Even more rain is on the way for the region this week.

Near the Lesser Antilles, an area of disturbed weather will enter the Eastern Caribbean on Tuesday. As it moves into the central and western Caribbean Sea it will enter a more favorable environment for development. 

Weather models have been divided on the odds of formation for this disturbance over the past few days. If it were to form in the Caribbean, the progress of this system would need to be carefully monitored by Cuba, Central America, and the Gulf Coast. The National Hurricane Center is giving this disturbance a medium (40%) chance of forming within the next seven days.

An additional area to watch was recently added the Eastern Tropical Atlantic. A tropical wave will soon be leaving the coast of Africa and entering into an environment (shown in yellow) that is more conducive to development. It now has a low (30%) chance of formation over the next week.

The next name on our storm naming list is Francine.