Gabrielle on the brink of becoming a hurricane

Tropical Storm Gabrielle will likely strengthen into a hurricane by the end of this weekend.

The storm is currently moving northwest into warmer waters and a more favorable environment for intensification.

Gabrielle will not bring any direct impacts to the United States and should pass east of Bermuda, though the island should still monitor it for fringe impacts. The National Hurricane Center’s latest forecast still calls for this storm to become a Category 2 hurricane.

Behind Gabrielle, one separate spot being watched for development. A tropical wave will have a low (20%) chance to form in the yellow shaded region within the next seven days. While most weather models do not have this spot organize into a named storm, those that do steer it away from Florida (similar to Gabrielle).

Humberto is the next name to be used from our 2025 storm naming list.

Tropical Storm Gabrielle struggling to overcome dry air

Tropical Storm Gabrielle is still combating dry air in the west/central tropical Atlantic.

This is highlighted by the lack of organized storm development around its exposed center.

Nevertheless, Gabrielle could still to strengthen into a hurricane by the beginning of next week.

A primary driver in the storms potential strengthening is the warmer sea surface temperatures that lie ahead of it.

This poses no direct threat to the United States. Bermuda is no longer within the storm’s forecast cone, but impacts are still possible for the island.

We are now only monitoring one area of potential development within the next week. A tropical wave set to emerge off the coast of Africa within the next day or so has a low 20% chance of development in the yellow shaded region within the next seven days.

The next name on our 2025 storm naming list would be Humberto if anything new were to develop.