Tropical Depression Two has formed in the Atlantic.

The system is expected to strengthen into a hurricane after entering into the eastern Caribbean. At the moment, it has sustained winds of 35mph and is moving west at 21mph. Tropical Depression Two would take the name Beryl if it were to become a tropical storm or hurricane.

Models are in strong agreement regarding Beryl’s track into the eastern and central Caribbean early next week. From there, there is still uncertainty regarding where it would head next. 

Interests in the Lesser Antilles should carefully track the progress of this system. Unseasonably warm sea surface temperatures, ample tropical moisture, and a lack of strong wind shear will provide a window of opportunity for the system to strengthen into a Category 2 hurricane in the Eastern Caribbean. This would be the first time since 1933 that any hurricane has formed in June in that region. 

We have plenty of time to monitor this system in the Contiguous United States. It is just under 3,000 miles off our coastline and there are no immediate threats to the Florida Peninsula at this time.

Odds of development continue to increase for each of the two waves we’ve been tracking over the past week.

In the middle of the Atlantic, we are keeping tabs on Invest 95L. There is now a high chance that his tropical wave becomes a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next few days.

Models are in agreement that the system will continue to move west and into the Caribbean by Monday. As it progresses west, the unseasonally warm waters of the Caribbean may help it strengthen. Among the models that develop the system, the majority of them now strengthen it into a hurricane.

There is high confidence among those weather forecast models that the wave will pass through the Greater Antilles and into the Eastern Caribbean.

Beyond that, it is far too early to speculate on the potential path of the storm. It is currently about 3,000 miles away from Florida, so we have a long time to monitor it.

The name “Beryl” would be assigned to the next tropical storm or hurricane that forms.