Hurricane Ernesto continues to organize as it moves over the abnormally warm waters (84-87 degrees) in the western Atlantic. The hurricane will be battling light to moderate wind shear and dry air that will make it difficult to strengthen too quickly over the next few days.

This is reflected within today’s forecast cone for Ernesto as it is now not expected to become a major hurricane.

A hurricane warning is now in effect for Bermuda as weather models still show the potential for a landfall or close pass from Ernesto. This would be late Friday into Saturday. Hurricane-force winds, storm surge, and inland flooding are all concerns for the island.

Ultimately, Atlantic Canada could be next to see impacts from this system as we head into next week. There are no other named storms or disturbances being monitored by the National Hurricane Center at this time.

Hurricane Ernesto developed just north of Puerto Rico this morning.

Ernesto is currently forecast to strengthen into a major hurricane as it tracks north this week. A mix of dry air and wind shear ahead of Ernesto is still casting some uncertainty with the strength forecast.

Weather models continue to bring Hurricane Ernesto near or over Bermuda as we enter the weekend. Impacts would vary substantially depending on Ernesto’s ultimate path and strength. A hurricane watch has been issued for the island.