Fairly Quiet In The Atlantic To Close Out June

It’s fairly quiet in the Atlantic basin right now. The National Hurricane Center is watching an area of disorganized storms south-southeast of Bermuda. Right now, upper-level winds will prevent this cluster of storms to develop into anything tropical. There is only a 10% chance of development with this system.


Thankfully, there isn’t much to expect right now in the Atlantic due to the Saharan Air Layer settling over the ocean from Africa. This will make the environment less favorable for any tropical development. However, Atlantic sea-surface temperatures are still above average for this time of year, which is why we have seen an uptick in activity at times this season.


Despite the lack of activity currently, it is important to remember that we still have a long way to go in hurricane season. On average, the tropics become more active over the next month or so.

Tropical Storm Bret and Cindy forecast to weaken

Both Tropical Storm Bret and Cindy are forecast to weaken as they move into hostile environments over the weekend. As of Saturday morning, Bret remains a weak tropical storm in the Caribbean Sea just north of Aruba. However, it continues to struggle to maintain its structure as it battles wind shear in the region. The National Hurricane Center forecast calls for Bret to degenerate to a trough of low pressure over the weekend.

Meanwhile, while Cindy has strengthened slightly in the Atlantic, its window of time to get stronger is quickly running out. The 60 mph storm is now moving WNW around the periphery of high pressure into an environment where wind shear and dry air will take its toll. Remnants of Cindy could pass near Bermuda late next week.

The formation of Bret and Cindy marked the first time the Atlantic has had two named storms in June simultaneously. The storms formed in an area that is typically reserved for development later in the season. However, warm water temperatures and little limiting factors early in their life span fostered development. Typically in June, storms tend to be more favored in the Gulf of Mexico and parts of the western Caribbean.

We’ll keep an eye out for whatever could be brewing next across the Atlantic Basin. The next name on the list is Don.