The end is in sight! There’s only one month left in what has been another very active hurricane season. Historically speaking, the last month of the season is usually very quiet. In fact, since 1950, only about 5% of named storms have formed during the month of November. While tropical activity is certainly possible this time of year, it is much less likely for anything significant to impact the U.S.

Aside from Hurricane Oscar, the Atlantic is quiet for now. Oscar will continue to race northward and begin to lose tropical characteristics. It poses no threat to land.

Oscar has strengthened into a category 1 hurricane with 85 mph winds. The storm is becoming better organized and will move into a modestly moist air mass, likely strengthening into a category 2 storm this evening.

It will slowly move west before curving to the northeast picking up speed out ahead of a trough. Oscar moves into an area of higher shear mid week, from there it will steadily weaken as it moves into the northern Atlantic. The storm poses no threat to any land areas, remaining well east of Bermuda.