One Week Down: Early-Season Check on the Atlantic

A couple blips on the radar so to speak in the young 2019 hurricane season. A short-lived Andrea back in mid-May, and a minimal threat in the western Gulf this past week that never materialized. So far, so good.

June is usually a quiet month for us. In fact, about half of all Junes since modern weather records began (1950) have not had any named storms form. Overall, June has accounted for only 6% of named storms on record.

Storms that do form early in the season are usually weaker, but there have been four June hurricanes to make landfall in the U.S. since 1950 – the most recent being Hurricane Bonnie in 1986. The takeaway? June hurricanes are rare, but not unprecedented. There’s a reason we want you to be prepared before the start of hurricane season.

While things are quiet at the moment, below is a look at the regular June formation zones. As usual, we’ll be here with you all season long.

 

Barry a Possibility in the Bay of Campeche; Heavy Rain Threat for Eastern Mexico

The 2019 Hurricane season is off to quick start. First a short-lived Andrea a little over a week ago, and now the possibility of Barry forming right as the season officially gets underway.

What we’re watching is a disorganized area of showers and storms in the Bay of Campeche. Thanks to the ridge parked over the Gulf, this really isn’t a threat to the U.S. However, it will bring periods of heavy rain to eastern Mexico over the next few days regardless of whether or not a storm forms. Some of this rain may spill over into southern Texas by mid-week – which could actually be beneficial in areas with a minor drought ongoing.

Hurricane hunters will be investigating this area on Sunday, if necessary.