We are still tracking Invest 91L as it drifts across the central tropical Atlantic. The National Weather Service has now dropped its 7-day development odds to 60%.

In the last 24 hours weather model support has dropped substantially, as drier air brought on by Saharan Dust has shrouded the disturbance. This had led to an additional drop of the odds of development over the next two days to 30%.

While many forecast models now dissipate the system, many still develop it into at least a tropical depression as it approaches the Lesser Antilles. These islands will still need to watch the progression of Invest 91L carefully before it possibly reaches the islands by the middle to end of next week.

The disturbance is moving very slowly (less than 10 mph at times) and will give the United States well over a week to monitor it if it forms.

The next name on our 2025 storm naming list is Gabrielle.