Tracking a new disturbance entering the Bay of Campeche

We are monitoring a cluster of thunderstorms in the northwestern Caribbean Sea that, after crossing the Yucatan Peninsula, will have a chance of development in the Bay of Campeche. The NHC is giving the disturbance a low (20%) chance of formation within the next week. Chances will likely rise if the system remains over water.

Most weather models that do develop this, keep it moving west towards Mexico. Early indications suggest that this is unlikely to bring any impacts to Florida.

The next name on our 2025 Atlantic storm naming list would be Barry.