The odds of tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico have slightly risen back to a medium (40%) chance within the next week.

Several weather models have shown the potential for the remnants of a Tropical Depression Eleven in the Pacific to lift into the Gulf of Mexico and provide a more distinct area of low pressure for development. This is an early trend in the models and will need to be watched for consistency. There is no imminent threat for development, and this would be something for us to monitor into the middle/end of next week.

Regardless of formation, the Florida Peninsula is still expected to see elevated rain chances to end the weekend and start next week.

In the central Atlantic, we still have Kirk and Leslie.

Kirk is a powerful category 4 hurricane and Leslie is a strengthening tropical storm. Each of these systems are expected to turn away from Florida.