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We are now keeping tabs on five unique areas of disturbed weather in the Atlantic for chances of development.
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A tropical wave in the northwest Caribbean Sea will have a low (30%) chance of formation after it enters the Bay of Campeche over the weekend.
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While this wave has struggled to organize over the past several days, it will have another chance over the warmer waters of the southern Gulf
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Meanwhile, we are again keeping tabs on a disturbance off the coast of Texas. Development is unlikely as increasing wind shear will create a hostile environment off the coastlines of Texas and Louisiana. It currently has a low (10%) chance of formation over the next week.
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The disturbance will continue to be a prolific rainmaker for that region through the weekend.
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By early next week, there is now a low (10%) chance of formation for a tropical wave in the Central Tropical Atlantic. This is after passes north of the Greater/Lesser Antilles early next week.
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The National Hurricane Center is also watching an area of low pressure (Invest 99L) producing disorganized showers and storms a few hundred miles east of North Carolina. This could gain subtropical characteristics as it generally moves northeast over the next few days.
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Weather forecast models keep the disturbance well off the coast of the United States. They eventually bring it into a less favorable environment for formation, over the cooler waters of the North Atlantic this weekend. It has a low (20%) chance of development over the next two days.
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A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic now has a low (20%) chance of forming within the next week. Regardless, it will likely track north/northwest and remain in the central Atlantic.