We are, once again, monitoring two disturbances in the Tropical Atlantic for development chances.

One tropical wave has just emerged off the coast of Africa. It has a low (20%) chance of formation over the next seven days. As of now, the vast majority of models that develop this system eventually turn it north and away from most landmasses.

Meanwhile, the odds of development for our central Atlantic tropical wave approaching the Lesser Antilles have increased. The National Hurricane Center has given this disturbance a medium (50%) chance of development over the next week.

There is increasing model agreement that this will slowly organize as it reaches the Caribbean and could become a tropical depression by early next week. It is too early to accurately speculate on what the long-range track of this system would be.