We are continuing to monitor the development chances for a disturbance in the central tropical Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center has now given this spot a medium (40%) chance of becoming a tropical storm or depression within the next week.

At the moment, the area is shrouded in Saharan dust, which is limiting the amount of showers and storms surrounding it. That will likely change as it approaches the Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week and moves into a more favorable environment for development. 

Weather models are still not in agreement about whether or not this disturbance will form. There is even more uncertainty about what the potential track of a named storm that develops would look like.

Regardless, this disturbance is currently around 2,500 miles away from Florida and we are just watching it at this time. Debby is the next name up on our 2024 storm naming list.