After a fairly active start to the season with Arlene, Bret and Cindy developing in the month of June, things are looking quieter to kick off the second month of hurricane season. Dry air from the Saharan Air Layer and areas of wind shear are keeping tropical activity low. No tropical development is expected across the Atlantic basin over the next 7 days, per the National Hurricane Center.

During the month of July, the tropical formation zone expands, including parts of the western Atlantic and waters east of the Lesser Antilles. However, as we’ve seen in the month of June, abnormally warm water temperatures in the main development region has already proved to be productive this season and it will be an area to watch closely going forward.

In general, July tends to be another quiet month before activity typically begins to ramp up in August and September.