Convection has flared up around Invest 99L in the southwestern Gulf on Friday morning. It hasn’t been strong enough to develop a low-level center just yet, but it’s certainly possible between now and Saturday night that a tropical depression is able to form before this moves inland over northeastern Mexico. Hurricane Hunters will investigate the area later in the day Friday, if necessary.

Whether or not anything develops, this will NOT be a highly impactful system – nothing more than increased rain chances across northeastern Mexico and parts of South Texas. The bigger story late this weekend into next week will be the arrival of heavy rains across north Texas thanks to a stalled front.

Elsewhere in the tropics, things are quiet and model guidance has backed off of the idea of an increase in activity in the central Atlantic next week. Our streak of consecutive days without a named storm in the Atlantic is now up to 47 – the third longest stretch on record since 1995. We’re likely to tack on at least several more days.