It’s been an incredibly busy September in the tropics, with 10 named storms forming during the first 18 days of the month. Things have finally calmed down this week, and all signs point toward this lull in activity lasting through the end of the month.

Although it may be quiet now, it’s certainly not time to pack it in and let our guard down. October can, and often does, generate problematic storms. It can almost be a more dangerous time of the season because storms are more likely to form close to home in southern Gulf and western Caribbean, which can leave us with very little prep time.

As of right now, there’s not much hinting at any potential threat during the first week or so of October, but that can change fast. We’ll be here with you the rest of the season.