Wind shear has weakened Jerry to a tropical storm with 65 mph winds. Locally heavy rainfall is still possible over the Northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico today. The storm will pass well east of the southeastern Bahamas on Sunday and then turn north into the Atlantic on Monday. Jerry could strengthen back into a hurricane next week as it nears Bermuda.
The tropics are still very active. A disturbance over Cuba will bring heavy rain to the area this weekend, but development is not likely. Another wave several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands has a 60% chance of development over the next 5 days. The wave we are keeping a close eye on has yet to come off the coast of Africa. It could become a tropical depression by early next week. Still a long time to watch.